Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 121.692216 138.604086 157.326053 179.641692 205.584832 234.874882 270.561670
2025-12-14 96.249903 117.873170 143.845448 177.539302 220.383077 273.424965 344.656313
2025-12-21 83.083202 107.106582 137.690562 179.881616 237.196504 313.236673 423.250807
2025-12-28 75.744285 101.834751 136.681155 187.281496 259.970702 362.298420 520.267135
2026-01-04 69.027577 96.140764 133.850521 191.061720 277.313473 405.193629 614.295840
2026-01-11 62.166965 89.227094 128.189599 189.579558 286.107484 435.904522 693.724862
2026-01-18 58.048725 85.698225 126.829717 194.007396 303.979986 482.341354 805.110931
2026-01-25 53.433982 80.859970 122.848075 193.645754 313.798775 516.588693 900.741452
2026-02-01 49.988464 77.431215 120.603620 195.644766 327.487555 558.758750 1016.921173
2026-02-08 45.842505 72.463719 115.349263 191.907519 330.596872 582.381740 1101.669223
2026-02-15 43.191404 69.668815 113.348075 193.447334 343.124959 624.561686 1229.587154
2026-02-22 40.880583 67.217255 111.655850 195.267476 356.241267 669.380914 1370.417553
2026-03-01 36.993927 62.005051 105.174283 188.532241 353.960496 687.159410 1465.021439
2026-03-08 34.165028 58.417688 101.279230 186.327324 360.605748 724.873015 1614.430105
2026-03-15 32.307449 56.369594 99.928677 188.801404 377.026344 785.858263 1832.509698
2026-03-22 31.316288 55.791587 101.214344 196.616773 405.786760 878.960153 2153.048201
2026-03-29 29.939822 54.351587 100.687163 200.610063 426.751708 957.895882 2457.119967
2026-04-05 28.070392 51.794198 97.712346 199.044297 434.856585 1007.437206 2693.193912
2026-04-12 27.024585 50.744636 97.632574 203.722145 458.223449 1099.162396 3076.473325
2026-04-19 25.566008 48.743376 95.409505 203.340056 469.304993 1161.238812 3387.464272
2026-04-26 24.460076 47.360524 94.338823 205.452155 486.911178 1244.161333 3789.686662
2026-05-03 22.916184 44.947396 90.855561 201.503609 488.395566 1282.651361 4055.017393
2026-05-10 21.958968 43.687000 89.753486 203.130418 504.845566 1367.391192 4509.311542